表題番号：2024C-310
日付：2025/04/17
研究課題気候変動が地域労働市場に与える影響
| 研究者所属（当時） | 資格 | 氏名 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| （代表者） | 政治経済学術院 政治経済学部 | 准教授 | 吉田 雅裕 |
- 研究成果概要
- Male labor force participation rates (LFPR) in developed economies have been declining since the 1970s. This paper argues that modern climate change has fueled dropouts of adult males by eroding the traditional advantage of working outdoors. Using exposure to climate change across US commuting zones constructed from granular daily weather records for nearly half a century, I find that extreme temperature days hurt the LFPR of prime-age males. In the new century, climate change accounts for approximately 10-15 percent of the nationwide decline in LFPR. I find that out- door jobs—prevalent across sectors and prominent in disadvantaged regions—are likely hotbeds of dropout. Disability accounts for a substantial proportion of climate-induced dropouts, but the majority of these are likely due to preference; the decline in LFPR has been catalyzed by the spread of housing amenities (e.g., air conditioning and cable TV) and access to affluent family backgrounds. Overall, the results suggest that climate change exacerbates socioeconomic inequality.The paper has been presented at seminars at GRIPS, Hitotsubashi, Keio, Kyoto (empirical), Kyoto (urban), Tokyo Labor Economics Workshop, Waseda, the 2024 Trans-Pacific Labor Seminar at the University of California, Santa Barbara, the 2024 Japanese Economic Association Fall Meeting, and the 2024 Econometric Society Australasia Meeting. The paper is currently under review.